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Wednesday, February 4, 2009
Feb-04 market commentary and technical levels

Wed, 04th of February, 2009
By Setyo Wibowo (analyst@fxinstructor.com)

EURUSD Outlook
The EURUSD had a bullish momentum yesterday. The pair topped at 1.3056 and closed at 1.3016. We had a volatile market lately reflected in broadening formation on 4h chart below where the price make new highs and lows without clear direction. This is kind of market that I would avoid and doing nothing. We still have major bearish trend line that might be tested today. The bias is bullish in nearest term but medium term remains unclear. Immediate support is seen at 1.3000 followed by 1.2900. Initial resistance at 1.3150. CCI just cross the 100 line down on hourly chart suggesting a potential downside pressure.

eurusd4hchart1

EURUSD Daily Supports and Resistances:

  • S1= 1.2858
  • S2= 1.2701
  • S3= 1.2602
  • R1= 1.3114
  • R2= 1.3213
  • R3= 1.3370

GBPUSD Outlook
The Sterling also rallied against Dollar yesterday. The pair topped at 1.4484 and closed at 1.4428. The broadening formation seem to get wider, adding uncertainty. The current bullish momentum might challenge the major bearish trend line seen on 4h chart below. Again, I will stay away from the market. This situation is the one that really need our patient. So, be patient! Do not rush jumping in to the market. Immediate support is seen at 1.4360 followed by 1.4280. Initial resistance at 1.4550. CCI just cross the 100 line down on hourly chart suggesting a potential downside pressure.

gbpusd4hchart1

GBPUSD Daily Supports and Resistances:

  • S1= 1.4225
  • S2= 1.4022
  • S3= 1.3893
  • R1= 1.4557
  • R2= 1.4686
  • R3= 1.4889

USDJPY Outlook
The USDJPY made indecisive movement yesterday by opened and closed at the same price (89.37) formed a Doji candlestick formation on daily chart. On 4h chart we can see that the pair is ready to make another test to break the bearish trend line resistance. The bias remains neutral in nearest term but bearish scenario in longer term remains valid. Immediate resistance at 89.80. Initial support at 89.00. CCI in neutral area on daily chart.

usdjpy4hchart1

USDJPY Daily Supports and Resistances:

  • S1= 88.64
  • S2= 87.92
  • S3= 87.26
  • R1= 90.02
  • R2= 90.68
  • R3= 91.40

USDCHF Outlook
The USDCHF had a significant bearish momentum yesterday. The pair bottomed at 1.1399 and closed at 1.1443. On 4h chart we can see that after had a bullish major momentum, the pair is trapped in rectangle formation between 1.1715 and 1.1310 area since January 23 indicating a consolidation phase. It seem like the pair ready to test the lower line at 1.1310 support. The bias is bearish in nearest term but neutral in longer term. I think it’s better to stay away from the market.

usdchf4hchart

USDCHF Daily Supports and Resistances:

  • S1= 1.1339
  • S2= 1.1236
  • S3= 1.1073
  • R1= 1.1605
  • R2= 1.1768
  • R3= 1.1871

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