EURUSD Forecast:
The EURUSD still trapped in range area of 1.4450 – 1.4250 yesterday. I think the best strategy remains to short around 1.4450 or to long around 1.4250 with tight stop loss. Bullish scenario will be confirmed by a close above 1.4450 today targeting 1.4600 – 1.4800 this week while bearish confirmation will be confirmed by a close below 1.4250 targeting 1.4127 – 1.4000 area this week.
Tuesday, January 5, 2010
Jan-05 Daily Forex Forecast and Trend Analysis
GBPUSD Forecast: USDJPY Forecast: USDCHF Forecast EURJPY Forecast GBPJPY Forecast AUDUSD Forecast Labels: Forex Analysis, forex signal, Forex Trend, m, Market Analysis, Market Trend |
Wednesday, December 30, 2009
Dec-30 Daily Forex Forecast and Trend Analysis
EURUSD Forecast The EURUSD attempted to push higher yesterday, topped at 1.4457 but further bullish momentum was rejected as price whipsawed to the downside, bottomed at 1.4331 and closed at 1.4353. On h4 chart below we can see that was a case of a false breakout from 1.4420 – 1.4250 range area which usually trigger significant bearish momentum, at least testing 1.4250 area. Break below that area should trigger further bearish scenario towards 1.4170 – 1.4130 area. Immediate resistance at 1.4420 – 1.4450 area. GBPUSD Forecast The GBPUSD had a significant bearish momentum yesterday, bottomed at 1.5867 and closed at 1.5900. The fact that price is now moving consistently below 1.5920 support area should trigger further weakness for the Sterling targeting 1.5800 – 1.5750 area. Immediate resistance at 1.5920 (former support). Break above that area should lead us into no trading zone in nearest term but overall the sentiment should remains bearish for this pair and I am in short mode. Long position is not recommended at this phase. USDJPY Forecast The USDJPY had a moderate bullish momentum yesterday. On daily chart below we can see that we are still in an uptrend as price still move inside the bullish channel without serious threat so far with the trendline resistance (red) area as potential area to be tested by current bullish momentum. However note that we seem to have good resistance around 92.30 – 92.50 area. We need a consistent move above that area to continue the bullish momentum at least towards 93.00 today. Immediate support at 91.50. I am in buy mode for this pair and short position is not recommended. USDCHF Forecast The USDCHF attempted to push lower yesterday, slipped below the lower line of the bullish channel, bottomed at 1.0278 but further bearish momentum was rejected as price whipsawed to the upside and closed higher at 1.0362. On daily chart below we can see that this was a case of a false breakdown from the bullish channel. Although overall this pair is still consolidating, this fact should trigger further upside pressure re-testing 1.0450 area today. Immediate support at 1.0330. EURJPY Forecast The EURJPY attempted to push higher yesterday, topped at 132.59 but the bullish momentum was limited as price closed lower at 132.04. However, the fact that price so far able to stay above 131.75 area should lead us into a new phase of bullish scenario targeting 133.50 area. 131.75 area seems to be a good place for long position with tight stop loss below that level . Good technical set up and risk-reward ratio. Break below 131.75 area should lead us into no trading zone as direction would become unclear for me. GBPJPY Forecast The GBPJPY failed to continue its bullish momentum yesterday. On h4 chart below we can see that price still trapped in range area of 145.65 – 146.85 area. If you notice, I have made some adjustment to my trendline support. For me as long as the pair stay above 145.65 area I still prefer a bullish scenario. The bias is neutral in nearest term and we need a valid break from the range area to see clearer direction. AUDUSD Forecast The AUDUSD had a significant bullish momentum yesterday. On h4 chart below we can see that price had a nice bullish momentum after break above my minor terndline resistance (blue), topped at 0.8991 but bullish momentum was stopped by major trendline resistance (red) and traded around 0.8928 at the time I wrote this comment. This fact bring me to a conclusion that the bullish correction should be over now and price should continue to move in its bigger trend, bearish at least targeting 0.8850 area. Only break above the major trendline resistance should be seen as serious threat to the major bearish scenario. Labels: Forex Analysis, Forex Indicator, forex signal, Forex Trend, Market Analysis, Market Trend, money trading |
Tuesday, December 29, 2009
Dec-29 Daily Forex Forecast and Trend Analysis
EURUSD Forecast The EURUSD didn’t make significant movement yesterday, moved in only small range of 60 pips. On h4 chart below we can see that after the bearish scenario was interrupted by violation to the bearish channel, price seems to consolidating in a range area with 1.4420 area as a key resistance level and 1.4250 as key support level at this phase. The bias remains neutral and we need a valid break from the range area to see clearer direction. Break above 1.4420 should trigger further bullish momentum towards 1.4585 while break below 1.4250 should trigger further bearish momentum testing 1.4170 – 1.4127. We will have US consumer confidence data today which expected to be the market mover which can take us out from this ranging market and give clearer direction. A better than expected number should be good for the Dollar while a worse than expected number should weaken the Dollar. GBPUSD Forecast The GBPUSD had a moderate bullish momentum yesterday, topped at 1.6014 and closed at 1.5999. However, as you can see on my h4 chart below, actually this pair is still consolidating, indicated by rectangle formation. So basically, the movement is still indecisive and as long as price stay below 1.6050, I still prefer a bearish scenario. Break above 1.6050 should trigger further bullish momentum testing the upper line of the bearish channel and could be a serious threat to the bearish outlook. Immediate support at 1.5920. Break below that area should trigger further bearish momentum testing 1.5850 – 1.5800 area. USDJPY Forecast The USDJPY made another indecisive market, made another Doji on daily chart. Price is consolidating within an ascending triangle as you can see on my h4 chart below indicating the pressure should be more to the upside, especially if price breakout above the triangle targeting 92.32 even 93.30 area. On the downside, key support level remains at 90.80. As long as price stay above that area, I still prefer a bullish scenario. USDCHF Forecast Similar to other major pairs, the USDCHF was indecisive yesterday in a thin market indicating consolidation. The bias should remains neutral in nearest term. On h4 chart below we can see that price is now testing the bullish channel. Violation to the bullish channel should trigger further bearish pressure testing 1.0230 and should be seen as serious threat to the bullish outlook. Key resistance level remains at 1.0450 area. Another break above that area should continue the bullish scenario targeting 1.0530 before aim for 1.0700. EURJPY Forecast The EURJPY didn’t make significant movement yesterday. Price is now attempting to push higher above 131.75 area, but never really able to move convincingly above that level so far. On h4 chart below we have an ascending triangle after some bullish momentum indicating potential bullish continuation scenario especially if we have a valid breakout above the triangle, which is also above 131.75 area targeting 132.70 even 133.50 area. However if this bullish ascending triangle fails and price violate the triangle to the downside, price should significantly fall testing 130.90 and 130.05 area. I am expecting to see a valid break from the triangle area to see clearer direction, then just follow it. GBPJPY Forecast The GBPJPY had a moderate bullish momentum yesterday, topped at 146.66 and closed at 146.58. This fact should keep the bullish scenario intact, but we need a consistent move above 146.80 area to continue the bullish scenario towards 149.05 area. On the downside, key support area is seen around the trendline support (blue). Break below that trendline support should be seen as serious threat to the bullish scenario. Immediate support at 146.00 – 145.80 area. AUDUSD Forecast The AUDUSD had a significant technical movement yesterday by break above 0.8850 area. The bearish scenario is clearly in a serious threat. On h4 chart below we can see that the bullish momentum found a resistance at the minor trendline resistance (blue). We need a break above that trendline to confirm the bullish scenario targeting 0.9020. Another movement below 0.8850 could be seen as a false breakout which could trigger significant bearish momentum re-testing 0.8733 area. Labels: Forex Analysis, Forex Indicator, forex signal, Forex Trend, Market Analysis, Market Trend, money trading |
Monday, December 28, 2009
Dec-28 Daily Forex Forecast and Trend Analysis
EURUSD Forecast: GBPUSD Forecast: USDJPY Forecast: USDCHF Forecast EURJPY Forecast GBPJPY Forecast AUDUSD Forecast Labels: Forex Analysis, Forex Indicator, forex signal, Forex Trend, Market Analysis, Market Trend |
Wednesday, December 23, 2009
Dec-23 Daily Forex Forecast and Trend Analysis
| EUR/USD Forecast: Slipped below 1.4250, targeting 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 1.2456 - 1.5143 The EURUSD attempted to push higher yesterday, topped at 1.4331 but further bullish momentum was rejected as price whipsawed to the downside, break below 1.4250, bottomed at 1.4216 and closed at 1.4253. Looks like the double bottom support failed to prevent the bearish pressure a this phase. This fact should lead us to further bearish scenario with technical target at 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 1.2456 – 1.5143 around 1.4127 area which is a key support level from longer term point of view. Break below 1.4127 should be a potential threat to the long term bullish outlook. Immediate resistance at 1.4300 – 1.4330 area. We have seen a very strong bearish momentum this month with no sign of significant upside correction. GBPUSD Forecast: USDJPY Forecast: USDCHF Forecast EURJPY Forecast GBPJPY Forecast AUDUSD Forecast Labels: Forex Analysis, Forex Lessons, forex signal, Forex Trend, Market Analysis, Market Trend, money trading |
Tuesday, December 22, 2009
Dec-22 Daily Forex Forecast and Trend Analysis
| EUR/USD Forecast: Bearish continues, re-testing double bottom support around 1.4250/60 area The EURUSD attempted to push higher yesterday, topped at 1.4372 but further bullish momentum was rejected as price closed lower at 1.4273. This fact should keep the pressure on Euro re-testing 1.4250/60 support area today. The bias remains to the downside targeting 1.4172 – 1.4127 area today but we need consistent move below 1.4250/60 to continue the bearish scenario since we seems to have a double bottom support around that area as you can see on my h4 chart below. Immediate resistance at 1.4350/70 area followed by 1.4400 – 1.4450 area. Break above 1.4450 area should be seen as potential threat to the bearish outlook. GBPUSD Forecast: USDJPY Forecast: USDCHF Forecast EURJPY Forecast GBPJPY Forecast AUDUSD Forecast Labels: Forex Analysis, Forex Indicator, forex signal, Forex Trend, Market Analysis, Market Trend, Moving Average |
Monday, December 21, 2009
Dec-21 Daily Forex Forecast and Trend Analysis
| EUR/USD Forecast: 1.4250 support area hold, technical bearish remains intact The EURUSD made indecisive movement on Friday, formed a Doji on daily chart. Price attempted to push lower, bottomed at 1.4260 but closed higher at 1.4336. The rejection to move below key support level 1.4250 was not a surprise for me. It was a “normal” upside correction on weekend after a significant bearish week, and overall the bearish scenario still in control, reflected on the bearish channel (red channel) as you can see on my h4 chart below. Break below 1.4250 should trigger further bearish momentum targeting 1.4170 – 1.4127 area, which is an important support area in longer term. Immediate resistance is seen at 1.4400 – 1.4450 area. Break above that area should lead us into no trading zone. GBPUSD Forecast: USDJPY Forecast: USDCHF Forecast EURJPY Forecast GBPJPY Forecast AUDUSD Forecast Labels: Forex Analysis, Forex Indicator, forex signal, Forex Trend, Market Analysis, Market Trend, Moving Average |
Friday, December 18, 2009
Dec-18 Daily Forex Forecast and Trend Analysis
| EUR/USD Forecast: Next target at 1.4250, CCI divergence and potential profit taking on Friday might produce upside correction The EURUSD continued its bearish momentum yesterday, bottomed at 1.4303 and closed at 1.4348 after break below 1.4500. The bias remains to the downside targeting at least 1.4250. However, as you can see on my daily chart below we have CCI divergence indicating potential upside minor correction and potential profit taking activity on Friday testing 1.4450 resistance area, but long position is not recommended at this phase. Break below 1.4250 should trigger further bearish momentum towards 1.4170 area and potentially testing 1.4000 support area in longer term point of view. GBPUSD Forecast: USDJPY Forecast: USDCHF Forecast EURJPY Forecast GBPJPY Forecast AUDUSD Forecast Labels: Forex Analysis, Forex Indicator, forex signal, Forex Trend, Market Analysis, Market Trend, Moving Average |


























































