Jan-06 Daily Forex Forecast and Trend Analysis

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Friday, January 7, 2011
Jan-06 Daily Forex Forecast and Trend Analysis

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD continued its bearish momentum yesterday, bottomed at 1.2983 and hit 1.2969 earlier today in Asian session. The bias remains bearish in nearest term, testing 1.2920 and the trend line support. From another technical perspective as you can see on my daily chart below, the trend line support is also the neckline of a head and shoulders pattern. A clear break below the neckline would confirm the bearish continuation scenario at least testing 1.2700 – 1.2600 area. Immediate resistance at 1.3040. Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term. Note that as long as the trend line support/neckline hold, we are still in consolidation phase where bearish continuation scenario is not validated yet. Fundamental focus on the US NFP number today, which is expected to be good, forecast around 159K with previous number only 39K. A better than expected US NFP number could send the Euro lower below the neckline and confirm the bearish continuation scenario while a worse than expected number could prevent further bearish pressure and keep price in range area but I think overall the pressure remains to the downside.


GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD attempted to push higher yesterday, topped at 1.5562 but whipsawed to the downside, bottomed at 1.5445 and hit 1.5435 earlier today in Asian session. On h4 chart below we can see price slipped below the minor trend line support indicates potential further bearish pressure testing 1.5370/50 and the trend line support in nearest term, but note that as long as price stay above the trend line support we are still in consolidation phase. Immediate resistance at 1.5525/50 area. Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.5600/50. Fundamental focus on the US NFP number today, which is expected to be good, forecast around 159K with previous number only 39K. A better than expected US NFP number could push Sterling lower testing the trend line support while a worse than expected result could prevent further bearish pressure and keep price in range area, but the major scenario remains to the downside.


USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF was indecisive yesterday, made a Doji on daily chart. The bias is neutral in nearest term but still with more upside bias after the violation of the bearish channel testing 0.9750 – 0.9800 resistance area. Immediate support remains around 0.9600 followed by 0.9550. Fundamental focus on US NFP today.


USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY was indecisive yesterday, made a Doji on daily chart. The bias is neutral in nearest term but overall still with more upside bias after the false breakdown below the trend line support and strong break above 82.33 testing 84.40 key resistance area. Immediate support remains around 82.80. Break below that area could trigger further bearish pullback testing 82.33 support area.


EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY had a bearish momentum yesterday, bottomed at 108.10 and closed at 108.26. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 107.30 before targeting 106.25 support area. Immediate resistance at 109.00 and the trend line resistance (around 109.50). A clear break above the trend line resistance could be a threat to the bearish scenario and potential bullish reversal scenario.


GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY was indecisive yesterday. The bias is neutral in nearest term and we are still in critical phase with 129.30 as a key resistance area, where a clear break above that area could be an early signal of a bullish reversal scenario at least testing 130.30. Immediate support at 128.41 (yesterday’s low). Clear break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure targeting 128.00 – 127.50 support area and could be an early signal of bearish continuation testing 126.50 even lower.


AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD continued its bearish correction yesterday, bottomed at 0.9927 and hit 0.9918 earlier today in Asian session. The bias remains bearish in nearest term as a psychological correction after hit historical high and the breakdown below the trend line support as you can see on my h4 chart below testing 0.9860. We already have four consecutive bearish daily candles since the fall from 1.0256 so any upside pullback is normal. Immediate resistance at 0.9987 – 1.0013. Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term as price would be in consolidation phase both on nearest and medium term outlook.

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3 Comments:

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Bullion Tips, Gold Tips, Forex Tips

October 31, 2012 at 1:01 PM  

The website style and design is perfect, the content material is really excellent. Good judgment comes from experience, and experience comes from bad judgment.
Foreign Exchange Trading

December 10, 2013 at 9:43 AM  

Great and informative posts. Thanks for sharing, read current updates about FOREX market here!!

June 23, 2018 at 12:45 PM  

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