EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD was volatile but indecisive yesterday. There are no significant technical movement so far and overall still ranging between 1.3500 – 1.2968. This trendless/consolidation market is not an ideal condition to have any position. Be patient and do not rush jump into the market. The bias is neutral both in nearest and medium term. Immediate resistance at 1.3400. Clear break above that area could trigger further bullish pressure testing 1.3500. Immediate support at 1.3300. Break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure re-testing 1.3250 (yesterday’s low). I still prefer a bearish scenario, but a clear break above 1.3500 could be an early signal of a bullish reversal scenario and would activate my bullish mode.
GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD had a moderate bearish momentum yesterday. The major scenario remains bearish as long as price still moves inside the bearish channel, but need a clear break below the trend line support, which has proven itself as a strong support area at this phase. I only see potential good trades to short around the upper line of the bearish channel (around 1.5700) or long around the trend line support (around 1.5370 – 1.5400) with tight stop loss. Any trades between those area is not “safe” for me, as short term volatility could easily hit our stop loss as market remains consolidating without clear direction and consistent momentum and the risk-reward ratio is bad. I still prefer a bearish scenario and expect a clear break below the trend line support, but until that happen, we have no further validation for the bearish continuation scenario. Be patient.
USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY had a significant bullish momentum yesterday, topped at 81.74 and hit 81.93 earlier today in Asian session. If you look at the daily chart, yesterday’s bullish candle was the first convincing bullish candle since strong bearish momentum from 84.35, so this was a normal bullish correction. However, the bias remains bullish in nearest term targeting 82.33. A clear break above that area could trigger further short term bullish momentum and change the medium term outlook from bearish to neutral. On the downside, we need another clear break below 81.30 to keep the strong bearish scenario intact still targeting 80.00 support area.
USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF made another indecisive movement yesterday, made another Doji on Daily chart. The bias remains neutral in nearest term and we may now enter the consolidation phase with potential upside correction, but the main scenario remains strongly bearish. Immediate resistance remains at 0.9395 followed by 0.9440. On the downside, clear break below 0.9300 could trigger further bearish momentum testing 0.9200 region.
EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY failed to continue its bearish bias yesterday, violated the minor bearish channel to the upside as you can see on my h4 chart below. The bias is bullish in nearest term especially if price able to make a clear break above 109.50 testing 110.10/50 and could be a serious threat to the major bearish scenario. Immediate support at 108.60. Break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure re-testing 107.30 and keep the bearish scenario remains strong as a false breakout scenario could be produced.
GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY continued its bullish correction yesterday and hit 126.94 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 128.00 as the failure to make a clear break below the horizontal support area could trigger some upside rebounds. If we look at the daily chart, the bullish correction/consolidation move in the last two days is actually a normal correction and the major scenario remains bearish, but unless price make a clear break below 125.50, we may see further upside pullback. Immediate support at 126.33 (current low). Break below that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but would give a bearish pressure another chance to test 125.50 support area.
AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD was corrected lower yesterday, bottomed at 1.0149 and hit 1.0122 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bearish in nearest term especially if price able to break below 1.0115/20 support area testing 1.0050/00. On the upside, another movement above 1.0182 would keep the major bullish scenario strong, testing 1.0228/56 before set to make further historical highs.
Labels: Forex Analysis, forex signal, Forex Trend
