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Wednesday, April 1, 2009
Apr-01 Market Commentary and Technical Levels

Wed, 01st of April, 2009
By Setyo Wibowo (analyst@fxinstructor.com)

EURUSD Outlook
The EURUSD didn’t make a significant movement yesterday. The pair attempted to push higher, topped at 1.3341 but closed lower at 1.3248. On 4h chart below we can see that the pair is in bullish correction phase after had a significant bearish momentum from 1.3735. The bias remains neutral in nearest term. Immediate resistance is seen at 1.3341 (yesterday’s high). Break above that level could trigger further bullish momentum targeting 1.3435 area. Initial support remains at 1.3100. Break below that level could lead to further bearish scenario towards 1.2950 area. CCI in neutral area both on 4h and daily chart.

eurusd4hchart11

EURUSD Daily Supports and Resistances:

  • S1= 1.3167
  • S2= 1.3087
  • S3= 1.3000
  • R1= 1.3334
  • R2= 1.3421
  • R3= 1.3501

GBPUSD Outlook
The GBPUSD had a moderate bullish momentum yesterday. The pair topped at 1.4373 but closed lower at 1.4320. The bias remains neutral in nearest term. After rebounded to the upside as the trendline support hold since Monday, the pair seems to have an important resistance at 1.4380 area. So for now, as you can see in 4h chart below, the battle is between the trendline support and the resistance line. Break above the resistance line could trigger further bullish momentum while a trendline support violation could lead to further bearish scenario challenging 1.4000. CCI in neutral area both on 4h and daily chart.

gbpusd4hchart18

GBPUSD Daily Supports and Resistances:

  • S1= 1.4247
  • S2= 1.4175
  • S3= 1.4112
  • R1= 1.4382
  • R2= 1.4445
  • R3= 1.4517

USDJPY Outlook
The USDJPY had a bullish momentum yesterday. On 4h chart, as I had expected, after breakout to the upside from “flag” formation the pair topped at 99.35 and closed at 98.94. The bias is bullish in nearest term but we seem to have a potential strong resistance at 99.66 area (March 05 high). Break above that level could trigger further bullish scenario towards 100.50 area. CCI about to cross 100 line down on 4h chart so watch out for a potential downside pressure testing 98.35 support area.

usdjpy4hchart8

USDJPY Daily Supports and Resistances:

  • S1= 97.65
  • S2= 96.36
  • S3= 95.51
  • R1= 99.79
  • R2= 100.64
  • R3= 101.93

USDCHF Outlook
The USDCHF had a bearish momentum yesterday. The pair bottomed at 1.1356 and closed at 1.1392. On 4h chart we can see that after break 1.1360 level to the upside last Friday (March 27) and topped at 1.1547, the pair go back lower testing the key level 1.1360 again. Break below that level could trigger further bearish momentum. CCI in neutral area both on 4h and daily chart.

usdchf4hchart10

USDCHF Daily Supports and Resistances:

  • S1= 1.1327
  • S2= 1.1262
  • S3= 1.1168
  • R1= 1.1486
  • R2= 1.1580
  • R3= 1.1645

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