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Wednesday, May 13, 2009
May 13 Market Commentary and Technical Levels
by: Setyo Wibowo


EUR/USD Outlook

The EURUSD had a moderate bullish momentum yesterday. The "flag" formation I showed yesterday gave us a valid bullish signal when violated to the upside (breakout). The bias is neutral in nearest term but remains bullish in medium term. Immediate support is seen at 1.3570followed by 1.3470. Initial resistance at 1.3736area. Break above that area could trigger further bullish scenario targeting 1.3900area. CCI in neutral area both on hourly and h4 chart. Please click here to see the chart.

EURUSD Daily Supports and Resistances:

S1= 1.3571
S2= 1.3495
S3= 1.3428
R1= 1.3714
R2= 1.3781
R3= 1.3857


GBP/USD Outlook

The GBPUSD continued it's bullish scenario yesterday. The pair topped at 1.5349and closed at 1.5268. On hourly chart below we can see that the trendline support has been a good support in this bullish scenario. The bias is neutral in nearest term but remains bullish in medium term. We might see another downside consolidation toward the trendline support today. Immediate support is seen at 1.5160area. Break below that area could lead us into no trading zone. Initial resistance at 1.5349(yesterday's high) followed by 1.5470area. CCIabout to cross the 100 line down on h4 chart suggesting a potential minor downside pullback. Please click here to see the chart.

GBPUSD Daily Supports and Resistances:

S1= 1.5111
S2= 1.4954
S3= 1.4835
R1= 1.5387
R2= 1.5506
R3= 1.5663



USD/JPY Outlook

As I had expected, the USDJPY continued it's bearish momentum yesterday. The pair bottomed at 96.10 and closed at 96.41. On h4 chart below we can see that the pair is now ready to test the major trendline support. Break below the trendline should trigger further/bigger bearish scenario. The bias remains bearish testing 95.50area. Immediate resistance is seen at 96.70/80area. CCI in oversold area and heading up on h4 chart so watch out for a potential upside correction. Please click here to see the chart.

USDJPY Daily Supports and Resistances:

S1= 95.73
S2= 95.05
S3= 94.01
R1= 97.45
R2= 98.49
R3= 99.17



USD/CHF Outlook

The USDCHF had a moderate bearish momentum yesterday. On hourly chart below we can see that the pair is moving in rectangle area between 1.1104 - 1.1004indicating consolidation after significant bearish movement. The bias is neutral in nearest term but remains bearish in medium term. Break from the rectangle should give us clearer direction. CCI in neutral area on h4 chart. Please click here to see the chart.

USDCHF Daily Supports and Resistances:

S1= 1.1004
S2= 1.0954
S3= 1.0904
R1= 1.1104
R2= 1.1154
R3= 1.1204

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