EURUSD Forecast:
Although we had a volatile market yesterday, the EURUSD made indecisive movement indicating consolidation after some bullish momentum. A look at daily chart below reveals that bullish scenario is confirmed as the price already breakout above the ascending triangle formation. Technically, ascending formation is consolidation pattern after some bullish movement and tend to continue the bullish scenario especially if price make a breakout to the upside, and that’s what happen now. However, CCI in extreme overbought area and heading down on daily chart so I will not surprise if we have some downside corrections at this phase. As long as the pair stay above 1.4446, any downside pressure should be seen as corrections and short positions are not recommended. Immediate resistance at 1.4612 (yesterday’s high). Break above that area should trigger further bullish momentum targeting 1.4719.
GBPUSD Forecast:
The GBPUSD continued it’s bullish momentum yesterday. On h4 chart below we can see that the pair made a breakout from the range area (38.2% – 50% Fibo retracement of 1.7042 – 1.6112), hit the top at 1.6686, which is exactly the 61.8% Fibo, and price still convincingly move inside the bullish channel. The bias remains bullish in nearest term but 61.8% Fibo is considered as good resistance so I will not surprise if we would have some downside corrections, testing 1.6575 area (50% Fibo). Break above 1.6686 area should trigger further bullish momentum targeting 1.6814 area (August 07 high).
USDJPY Forecast:
The USDJPY made another moderate bearish momentum yesterday. On h4 chart below we can see that the new candle next to the inverted hammer failed to closed above 92.24 area indicating bullish reversal scenario failure and the price closed at 91.73. This bullish reversal failure could potentially lead the pair to further bearish pressure. Price is now traded below key support level 91.80 indicating potential bearish view. The bias is bearish in nearest term targeting 90.70 area. Break above 91.80 area should lead us back into no trading zone.
USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF attempted to push higher yesterday, topped at 1.0465 but further bullish correction was rejected as the pair closed lower at 1.0356. Is this mean the bullish correction is end and we ready to continue the bearish? Not necessarily. Take a look at my daily chart below, we have an inverted hammer which is also known as bullish reversal candlestick pattern. So, I prefer to stay away for now. I know many of us see the current bearish momentum as good opportunity to place short trades. Well, it is. But we also can’t ignore a bullish correction warning. Just be patient, there are still a bunch of good trades opportunity.
EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY had another indecisive movement yesterday. The pair attempted to push lower, bottomed at 133.29 but closed higher at 133.75. On h4 chart below we can see that this was a case of false breakdown from the range area. I still prefer a bullish scenario and a false breakdown usually lead to significant bullish momentum. However, I think it’s better to stay out for now and wait for further development as the market seems to consolidate now. Immediate support at 133.29 (yesterday’s low) and 132.80 area. Initial resistance remains at 134.50 Break above that area should trigger further bullish momentum at least towards 135.30. CCI in neutral area both on h4 and daily chart.
GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY had a moderate bullish momentum yesterday. On h4 chart below we can see that the bullish channel hold so far indicating bullish scenario remains intact. However CCI just cross the 100 line down on h4 chart suggesting potential downside pressure re-testing the bullish channel and 152.30 support area. Break below that area and a violation to the bullish channel should lead us into no trading zone. Immediate resistance at 153.30. Break above that area should trigger further bullish momentum testing 154.35.
AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD made indecisive movement yesterday, formed a Doji on daily chart. On h1 chart below we can see that the bullish channel has been violated to the downside indicating a paused of bullish momentum as the price consolidating in range area of 0% – 23.6% Fibo retracement of 0.8239 – 0.8665. The bias is neutral in nearest term, but I still prefer a bullish scenario. I will pay attention to support area at 0.8565 (23.6% Fibo). If price break below that area, we should see further bearish correction towards 0.8500 area, but if we see downside rejection after touch that support area, expect further bullish momentum back towards 0.8665 area. Break above that area should trigger further bullish momentum targeting 0.8730.
