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Thursday, October 29, 2009
Oct-29 Daily Forex Forecast and Trend Analysis
EURUSD Forecast: Bearish correction continues, testing major trendline support

As I had expected, the EURUSD continued it’s bearish momentum yesterday, bottomed at 1.4690 and closed at 1.4715. As you can see in my daily chart below, we area in critical technical phase where price is now testing the major trendline support. This trendline support could be a strong support area since overall in longer term the bullish outlook remains intact, but once violated to the downside, we should have further bearish scenario. So I think what is going to happen on that trendline support today and the rest of this week should be our technical focus at this phase.

eurusddaily

On h4 chart below, after violated the bullish channel the bearish momentum seems strong with technical target back towards 1.4500 area. The bias remains bearish in nearest term targeting 1.4580 area but once again, pay attention to the major trendline support on daily chart above. Immediate resistance is seen at 1.4760. Break above that area should trigger further bullish pressure testing 1.4850 area and might be considered as potential end to the current bearish correction.

eurusd4hchart


GBPUSD Forecast:
The GBPUSD made had another volatile but indecisive movement yesterday. On daily chart below we can see that the pair attempted to stay above the bearish channel, topped at 1.6466 but once again failed to close convincingly above the bearish channel indicating that bullish pressure is not strong enough to push higher and might be exhausted and potentially trigger bearish momentum. I still prefer a bearish scenario at this phase with 1.6113 as the bearish target. Immediate resistance at 1.6430/60 area.

gbpusddaily


USDJPY Forecast:
The USDJPY continued it’s bearish momentum yesterday, bottomed at 90.54 and closed at 90.73. After failed to break above 92.50 resistance area, the pair keep moving lower and now, as you can see on my h4 chart below, has violated the bullish channel to the downside indicating potential further bearish momentum. The bias remains bearish targeting 90.00 – 89.50 area. Immediate resistance is seen at 91.10 area. Break above that area should lead us into no trading zone.

usdjpy4hchart


USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF continued it’s bullish momentum yesterday, topped at 1.0276 and closed at 1.0262. On my h4 chart below we can see that the bullish momentum is now testing the 1.0280 resistance area. The bias remains bullish in nearest term but we need a clear break above 1.0280 to confirm bullish scenario targeting 1.0360 even back towards 1.0450 area. Immediate support at 1.0230 followed by 1.0166.

usdchf4hchart


EURJPY Forecast
As I had expected, the EURJPY had another bearish momentum yesterday, hit my target at 134.40, even further, bottomed at 133.25. The bias remains bearish in nearest term targeting 131.00 before aim for 127.00 area. Immediate resistance at 134.00/40 area. Break above that area should lead us into no trading zone but I still prefer a bearish scenario at this phase and long position is not recommended.

eurjpydaily

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY had a bearish momentum yesterday, break below my support area at 149.40, bottomed at 148.28 and closed at 148.69. On h4 chart below we can see that the pair is moving in a bearish channel indicating bearish tone. This fact should lead us to further downside pressure targeting at least 146.50 area. Immediate resistance at 148.50 area. Break above that area should lead us into no trading zone but I still prefer a bearish scenario and long position is not recommended at this phase.

gbpjpyh4

AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD had a significant bearish momentum yesterday, break below 0.9090, bottomed at 0.8961 and closed at 0.8997. On h4 chart below we can see how violation of the bullish channel can trigger a bearish reversal scenario. This fact is nothing but a bullish failure for me and potential further bearish scenario targeting 0.8860 area. Immediate resistance at 0.9030 followed by 0.9090 area. Break above those area should lead us into no trading zone as direction would become unclear in nearest term but I prefer a bearish scenario at this phase.

audusdh4

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