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Friday, December 3, 2010
Dec-03 Daily Forex Forecast and Trend Analysis

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD was volatile yesterday but overall still able to maintain its bullish correction bias, topped at 1.3246 and closed at 1.3211. The bias remains bullish in nearest term especially if price able to make another break above 1.3250 targeting 1.3300 – 1.3350. Immediate support at 1.3180. Break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure testing 1.3100 – 1.3055. As long as price moves inside the minor bullish channel (blue) we are still in bullish correction phase. The major scenario remains bearish but need a move below the minor bullish channel and 1.3055 to potentially end the bullish correction and continue the bearish scenario testing 1.2920 region.


GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD was indecisive yesterday. On h4 chart below we can see price is moving in range area of 1.5650 – 1.5500 and need a clear break from either side to see clearer direction. A clear break above 1.5650 could trigger further upside pressure testing 1.5750 while a consistent move below 1.5500 could trigger further bearish pressure testing 1.5400 support area. Overall, we are still in a major bearish phase but like I said, there are still rooms for further upside correction moves and market likely to remains volatile and tricky.


USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY has been moving in range area of 84.40 – 83.40 in the last three days. There are no changes in my daily technical outlook. I still prefer a bullish scenario but would need a clear break above 84.40 (triple top) to continue the bullish scenario at least testing 85.00/22. On the other hand, a clear break below 83.40 could be a threat to the bullish outlook testing 82.87.


USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF had a significant bearish momentum yesterday, break below the trend line support as you can see on my h4 chart below. The bias is bearish in nearest term especially if price able to make a clear break below 0.9920 targeting 0.9850. Immediate resistance at 1.0000 followed by 1.0050. Although medium term bullish outlook remains intact since the break above the triangle, we need a clear break above 1.0050 to continue the bullish scenario.


EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY was volatile but indecisive yesterday. The bias is neutral in nearest term. Immediate resistance at 111.19 and the trend line resistance as you can see on my h4 chart below. Break above that area could trigger further bullish pressure testing 111.91. Initial support at 109.85. Break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure testing 109.00 and 108.40/30 key support area and keep the major bearish scenario remains strong.

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY failed to continue its bullish correction yesterday, bottomed at 130.18 and closed at 130.50. On h4 chart below we can see price is now testing the lower line of the bullish channel. A violation to the bullish channel could end the bearish correction phase testing 129.83 even 128.90. Immediate resistance at 130.84. Break above that area would keep the bullish correction scenario intact testing 132.00.


AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD continued its bullish correction yesterday, break above 0.9710 and now testing 0.9778 resistance area. The bias is bullish in nearest term especially if price able to make a clear break above 0.9778 testing 0.9850. Immediate support at 0.9710. Break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure testing 0.9650/20 support area and keep the bearish reversal scenario remains strong but bearish continuation would have further validation only by a clear break below 0.9550.

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