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Tuesday, November 30, 2010
Nov-30 Daily Forex Forecast and Trend Analysis

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD continued its bearish pressure yesterday, bottomed at 1.3063 and closed at 1.3099. This fact opens the door for further bearish scenario targeting my weekly target around 1.2920 region. The bias remains bearish in nearest term testing 1.3000 especially if price able to stay consistently below 1.3100. Immediate resistance at 1.3150 (current high). Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.3200 but overall we are still in strong bearish phase.


GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD attempted to push higher yesterday, topped at 1.5646 but whipsawed to the downside, bottomed at 1.5527 and closed 1.5547. The bias remains bearish in nearest term testing 1.5500 – 1.5450. Immediate resistance at 1.5571 (current high). Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.5650 but overall we are still in strong bearish phase.


USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY was indecisive yesterday. Price attempted to push lower, bottomed at 83.81 but closed higher at 84.26. The bias remains bullish in nearest term targeting 84.70. Immediate support remains around 83.70. Break below that area could lead us to neutral zone as direction would become unclear but I still prefer a bullish scenario at this phase.


USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF bullish momentum was paused yesterday and hit 0.9959 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is neutral in nearest term and my wait and see mode is now activated. I still prefer a bullish scenario but need a clear break above 1.0050 to continue the bullish scenario testing 1.0182. Immediate support at 0.9920. Break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure testing 0.9850.


EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY had a bearish momentum yesterday and now struggling around 110.30 support area. The bias is bearish in nearest term especially if price able to stay consistently below 110.30 testing 109.50 – 109.00 area. Immediate resistance at 110.68 (current high). Break above that area could trigger further bullish momentum testing 111.91 and keep us in boring range condition.

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY didn’t make significant momentum yesterday but so far I think the pressure remains to the downside. The bias remains bearish in nearest term especially if price able to stay consistently below 130.84 targeting 129.83. Immediate resistance at 131.36 (yesterday’s high). Break above that area would lead us back to range market between 130.84 – 132.00 but I still prefer a bearish scenario at this phase.


AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD continued its bearish pressure yesterday, bottomed at 0.9566 but closed a little bit higher at 0.9606. Price rebounded higher earlier today in Asian session, hit 0.9659. The bias is neutral in nearest term but overall I think we are still in strong bearish phase targeting 0.9550. Clear break below that area could trigger further bearish scenario testing 0.9450 region. Immediate resistance at 0.9659 (current high). Break above that area could trigger further bullish pullback testing 0.9710.

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Monday, November 29, 2010
Nov-29 Daily Forex Forecast and Trend Analysis

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD attempted to push lower earlier today in Asian session, hit 1.3181 but corrected a little bit higher around 1.3230 at the time I wrote this comment. Price still able to maintain position below the bullish channel indicates potential further bearish pressure. The bias remains bearish in nearest term testing 1.3100 especially if we have another strong break below 1.3181. Immediate resistance at 1.3290. Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.3333/50 but overall we are still in strong bearish phase.


GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD had a bearish momentum on Friday, bottomed at 1.5576 and closed at 1.5588. On h4 chart below we can see price had strong bearish momentum after made two consecutive strong breakdown below 1.5750 and 1.5650 support area suggests a strong bearish phase. The bias remains bearish in nearest term testing 1.5500. Immediate resistance at 1.5650. Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.5700 – 1.5750 but as long as price moves inside the bearish channel we are still in bearish phase.


USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY finally made a clear breakout above the range area, topped at 84.18 and closed at 84.09 on Friday. The bias is bullish in nearest term targeting 84.70. Immediate support at 83.70. Break below that area could lead us to neutral zone as direction would become unclear but I still prefer a bullish scenario at this phase.


USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF still struggling around 1.0000 area so far. The bias is neutral in nearest term but still within a potential bullish scenario targeting 1.0182 especially if price able to consistently move above 1.0050. Immediate support at 0.9950/20. Break below that area would lead us back to range market condition and re-activate my wait and see mode.


EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY made another volatile but indecisive movement on Friday. On h4 chart below we can seen price is now moving in a range area again between 111.91 – 110.30. Aggressive intra-day traders may short around 111.91 or long around 110.30 with tight stop loss. We know that this pair has been traded in range condition for the last two months now so taking advantage from this range condition could be a good idea.

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY had a bearish momentum on Friday after failed to make a clear break above 132.00 area. The bias is bearish in nearest term but I think we still need a clear break below 130.84 to continue the bearish scenario targeting 129.83. Immediate resistance remains at 132.00. Clear break above that area could trigger further bullish momentum testing 133.00 region.

AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD had a bearish momentum on Friday, bottomed at 0.9611 and hit 0.9584 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 0.9550. Immediate resistance at 0.9681 (current high). Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 0.9750 but overall we are still in bearish phase.

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Friday, November 26, 2010
Nov-26 Daily Forex Forecast and Trend Analysis

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD made another indecisive movement yesterday. There are no changes in my short term technical outlook which is remains bearish testing 1.3260 but I will keep paying attention to the long term technical outlook, where a good and strong support is seen around 1.3260 and the lower line of the bullish channel. Immediate resistance at 1.3400 – 1.3450 region. Break above that area would keep the long term bullish outlook intact, but as long as price moves inside the minor bearish channel we are still in a bearish phase.


GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD slipped below 1.5750 yesterday but so far still unable to consistently move below that area as market remains volatile but indecisive. As long as price stays below 1.5850 the nearest bias remains bearish but need a consistent move below 1.5750/30 to continue the bearish pressure targeting 1.5650. On the other hand, a failure to make a clear break below 1.5750/30 and a break above 1.5850 could trigger further bullish pullback testing 1.5900 – 1.5950 and the upper line of the bearish channel.


USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY slipped above 83.70 earlier today in Asian session but we have not seen a significant bullish momentum so far. Note that the 83.70 is a key resistance level at this phase and a bullish continuation scenario will need a convincing break above that area targeting 84.70 even higher. Immediate support at 83.40 (yesterday’s low). Break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure testing 82.84 support area.


USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF had a bullish momentum yesterday, slipped above 1.0000 and now struggling around that area. The bias is bullish in nearest term but I think we still in a clear break above 1.0000 to see further bullish momentum targeting 1.0182 region. Immediate support at 0.9920. Break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure testing 0.9850 but only a clear break below 0.9850 could be a threat to my bullish outlook.


EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY was volatile but indecisive yesterday. The bias is neutral in nearest term. Immediate resistance at 111.91 (yesterday’s high). Break above that area could trigger further bullish momentum targeting 112.80 – 113.00 area. Initial support at 111.00 and the trend line support area (red). Break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure re-testing 110.75/30.

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY was indecisive yesterday, formed a Doji on daily chart. The bias is neutral in nearest term. On the upside, a clear break above 132.00 could trigger further bullish momentum targeting 133.00 and could be a threat to my bearish medium term bias which started after the violation to the bullish channel. Immediate support at 131.35 (yesterday’s low). Break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure testing 130.84 but we need a clear break below 130.84 to continue the bearish scenario targeting 129.83 even lower.

AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD had a bearish momentum yesterday and slipped below 0.9750 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bearish in nearest term targeting 0.9650. Another move above 0.9750 could lead us back to neutral zone in nearest term testing 0.9800 and 0.9850 resistance area but I still maintain my bearish scenario at this phase. CCI still in negative territory both in daily and h4 chart so although the market is likely to remains volatile, the overall bias should remain to the downside.

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Thursday, November 25, 2010
Nov-25 Daily Forex Forecast and Trend Analysis

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD was volatile but indecisive yesterday. I think as long as price stays below 1.3446 the nearest bias remains bearish testing 1.3260 and the lower line of the bullish channel which is the key support area at this phase where some buying interest could be seen around that area. A violation to the bullish channel would be a threat to the long term bullish outlook and could be an early signal of a new long term bearish outlook. CCI still in negative territory on h4 chart indicates the bearish pressure is still potential.


GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD was volatile but indecisive yesterday. The bias remains bearish in nearest term but need a clear break below 1.5750 to continue the bearish pressure testing 1.5650 area. Immediate resistance at 1.5850. Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.5900 – 1.5950 but as long as price moves inside the bearish channel we are still in bearish phase. CCI still in negative territory on h4 chart suggests that the bearish pressure is still potential.


USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY had a moderate bullish momentum yesterday but still trapped in range area of 82.84 – 83.70 and still need a clear break on either side to see clearer direction. Aggressive intra-day traders may short around 83.70 or long around 82.84 with tight stop loss. I personally prefer to stand aside and maintain my wait and see mode until we have a clear break from the range area. A clear break above 83.70 could trigger further bullish continuation testing 84.70 while a break below 82.84 could trigger further bearish pressure testing 82.40 – 81.95 support area.


USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF was volatile yesterday but overall still showed no significant technical movement and still trapped in range area of 1.0000 – 0.9850. I am still in wait and see mode until we have a clear break from the range area. So far price still able to maintain position above the triangle so I am expecting a break to the upside. Aggressive intra-day traders may short around 1.0000 or long around 0.9850 with tight stop loss. Clear break above 1.0000 could trigger further bullish continuation targeting 1.0182 area. Immediate support at 0.9920/00. Break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure testing 0.9850 but only a clear break below 0.9850 could be a threat to the bullish outlook testing 0.9800 – 0.9750.


EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY attempted to push lower yesterday, bottomed at 110.30 but whipsawed to the upside and closed higher at 111.56 but still able to move below 111.60 so far indicates the bearish bias remains intact. However, pay attention to the inverse head and shoulders formation on h1 chart below which indicates potential bullish reversal especially if able to make a clear and strong break above 111.60 targeting 112.20/80 area. On the downside, further bearish pressure could be triggered on a break below 110.74 testing 110.30 and 109 70/60 region.

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY attempted to push lower yesterday but whipsawed to the upside and closed higher at 131.85 after failed to make a clear break below 130.84. The bias is neutral in nearest term. Overall we are still in bearish medium bias but like I said, we need a clear break below 130.84 to continue the bearish pressure testing 129.83. Immediate resistance at 132.00. Break above that area could trigger further bullish pullback testing 133.00 and change my medium bias to neutral zone

AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD had a significant bullish correction yesterday, topped at 0.9852 and closed at 0.9845 but had a strong bearish pressure earlier today in Asian session hit 0.9760 at the time I wrote this comment. This fact keeps my bearish reversal scenario remains intact but need consistent move below 0.9750 to continue the bearish pressure testing 0.9650 support area. Immediate resistance at 0.9852 (yesterday’s high). Break above that area could trigger further bullish pullback testing 0.9881 – 0.9950 resistance area. CCI still in negative territory both in daily and h4 chart so although the market is likely to remains volatile, the overall bias should remain to the downside.

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Wednesday, November 24, 2010
Nov-24 Daily Forex Forecast and Trend Analysis

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD continued its bearish momentum yesterday, bottomed at 1.3359 and closed at 1.3385. Good Euro zone manufacturing and services PMI numbers only gave minor upside pullback and failed to stop the bearish pressure. This fact could trigger further weakness for the single currency. The bias remains bearish in nearest term testing 1.3333. Clear break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure testing 1.3260 and the lower line of the major bullish channel as you can see on my h4 chart below which could be a threat to the long term bullish outlook. However note that at the same time the lower line of the major bullish channel could provide a good support area. Immediate resistance at 1.3446. Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.3500 – 1.3550 but overall we are still in strong bearish phase.


GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD had a significant bearish momentum yesterday, break below the major bullish channel as you can see on my h4 chart below, bottomed at 1.5758 and closed at 1.5798. Like I said, a violation to the bullish channel could be an early signal of a new bearish phase in long term outlook. The bias remains bearish in nearest term testing 1.5650 especially if price make another strong break below 1.5750. Immediate resistance at 1.5875. Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.5950 but as long as price moves inside the bearish channel we are still in bearish phase.


USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY was volatile but indecisive yesterday made a Doji on daily chart. This short term volatility which probably triggered by the Korean conflict reflects no significant technical movement and price still trapped in range area of 82.84 – 83.70 and there are no changes in my daily technical outlook. The bias remains neutral in nearest term and we need a break on either side to see clearer direction. A clear break above 83.70 could trigger further bullish continuation testing 84.70 while a break below 82.84 could trigger further bearish pressure testing 82.40 – 81.95 support area.


USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF had a bullish momentum yesterday after found support around 0.9850, topped at 0.9974 and closed at 0.9965. The bias is bullish in nearest term especially if price able to make a clear break above 1.0000 targeting 1.0182 area. Immediate support at 0.9920/00. Break below that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term and keep us in range market of 1.0000 – 0.9850.


EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY had a significant bearish momentum yesterday, slipped below 111.60 and bottomed at 110.74 which suggests potential bearish outlook. However, pay attention to the hammer candle stick formation as you can see on my h4 chart below which could be a signal of a bearish exhaustion and some upside rebound. This fact force me to wait for a clear break below 110.74 to confirm the bearish scenario testing 109.70/60 region. On the upside, another movement back above 111.60 would lead us back to neutral zone testing 112.20/80 resistance area and keep us in range market condition.


GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY had a significant bearish momentum yesterday, break below the bullish channel as you can see on my h4 chart below. This fact should be considered as bullish failure and potential new bearish phase. The bias is bearish in nearest term especially if price able to make another strong break below 130.84 targeting 129.83. Immediate resistance at 132.00. Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 133.00 and activates my wait and see mode.


AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD had a bearish momentum yesterday, slipped below 0.9750 but had upside rebound earlier today in Asian session hit 0.9806. The Korean conflict may trigger further volatility both in stock and currency movement in Asian and Australian market but technical bearish reversal scenario remains valid especially if price move back below 0.9750 targeting 0.9650 area. Immediate resistance at 0.9810. Clear break above that area could trigger further upside pullback testing 0.9881 – 0.9950 resistance area.

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Tuesday, November 23, 2010
Nov-23 Daily Forex Forecast and Trend Analysis

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD had a bearish momentum yesterday after failed to move consistently above 1.3770 resistance area, bottomed at 1.3576 and hit 1.3544 earlier today in Asian session. This fact keeps the bearish medium outlook intact but would need a clear break below 1.3446 to continue the bearish scenario testing 1.3333. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 1.3446 especially if price able to make a clear break below 1.3544. Immediate resistance at 1.3630. Break above that area could trigger further bullish momentum testing 1.3700 – 1.3730 area. On fundamental side, beside the Ireland issues which drive the market sentiment lately, we will have some Euro zone manufacturing and services PMI numbers and US Prelim GDP and existing home sales today as catalyst to move the market.


GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD made another upside attempt yesterday, but once again, the upper line of the minor bearish channel (red) rejected further bullish momentum and whipsawed to the downside, bottomed at 1.5898 and closed at 1.5940. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 1.5880 and the lower line of the bullish channel, but note that as long as the major bullish channel (white) hold, the major bullish outlook should remains intact. A violation to the major bullish channel could be a threat to the bullish outlook and could be an early signal of a new bearish phase testing 1.5750 – 1.5650 area. Immediate resistance at 1.5950. Consistent move above that area could trigger further bullish momentum testing 1.6000 – 1.6083.


USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY didn’t make significant technical move yesterday and still trapped in range area of 82.84 – 83.70. The bias remains neutral in nearest term and we need a break on either side to see clearer direction. A clear break above 83.70 could trigger further bullish continuation testing 84.70 while a break below 82.84 could trigger further bearish pressure testing 82.40 – 81.95 support area.


USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF continued its bearish consolidation yesterday, but still move above the triangle. Price still trapped in range area of 1.0000 - 0.9850 and need a break on either side to see clearer direction. We need a clear break above 1.0000 to continue the bullish scenario testing 1.0182. On the other hand, break below 0.9850 could diminish the bullish outlook testing 0.9800 – 0.9750. I will stand a side for now and see further development.


EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY failed to continue its bullish momentum yesterday, bottomed at 113.24 and closed at 113.29. I will keep stand aside as long as price still trapped in range area of 115.65 – 111.60. While longer time frame shows no clear direction, intra-day traders may get advantage from smaller time frame like hourly and 30 minutes chart. Immediate support at 112.80. Break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure testing 112.20/00 region. Initial resistance at 113.50. Break above that area could trigger further upside pressure testing 114.20/84 area.


GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY continued its bearish correction yesterday and now testing the lower line of the bullish channel as you can see on my h4 chart below. We are in a critical technical point here, where a violation to the bullish channel and clear break below 132.50 could be a threat to the bullish outlook and potentially produce an early bearish reversal signal testing 132.00 and 131.00 support area. Immediate resistance at 133.20. Break above that area could trigger further bullish momentum testing 133.60 – 134.20 area and keep the bullish scenario remains strong.


AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD was volatile but indecisive yesterday. The bias is neutral in nearest term and I will stand aside for now. The bearish reversal scenario remains intact but need a clear break below 0.9750 for further bearish confirmation. Immediate support at 0.9810. Break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure testing 0.9750 area. Initial resistance at 0.9950. Clear break above that area could trigger further bullish pressure testing 1.0000 which could be a serious threat to the bearish outlook re-testing 1.0182 historical level.

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Friday, November 19, 2010
Nov-19 Daily Forex Forecast and Trend Analysis

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD continued its bullish correction yesterday, topped at 1.3667 and closed at 1.3655. The bias remains bullish in nearest term testing 1.3700 – 1.3750 but I think the major bearish scenario remains intact and the current bullish momentum is still considered as a counter trend move. Immediate support at 1.3550. Break below that area could potentially end the current bullish correction testing 1.3500 – 1.3450 area.


GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD continued its bullish momentum yesterday, topped at 1.6055 and closed at 1.6049. The bias remains bullish in nearest term testing 1.6100 and the upper line of the minor bearish channel (red). The major scenario remains bullish but as long as price moves inside the minor bearish channel overall we are still in bearish consolidation movement after the fall from 1.6292 on November 05. A violation to the minor bearish channel and consistent move above 1.6100 could potentially end the bearish correction and continue the major bullish scenario testing 1.6292 even higher. Immediate support at 1.5950. Break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure testing 1.5880 and the lower line of the major bullish channel (white) and could be the second threat to the major bullish outlook.


USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY continued its bullish momentum yesterday but still unable to move consistently above 83.70 area. The bias is bullish in nearest term but need a consistent move above 83.70 to continue the bullish pressure testing 84.00 – 84.70 area. Immediate support remains around 82.84. Break below that area could trigger further bearish momentum testing 82.40 – 81.95 support area.


USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF slipped below the minor bullish channel yesterday but whipsawed to the upside, topped at 0.9997 and closed at 0.9954 in a volatile market. This fact could potentially produced a false breakdown scenario and could continue the upside pressure especially if price make a clear break above 1.0000 targeting 1.0182 area. Immediate support at 0.9850. Break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure testing 0.9800 – 0.9750.


EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY had a significant bullish momentum yesterday after made a strong breakout above 113.44 and the minor trend line resistance as you can see on my h4 chart below. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 114.28 – 114.65 but note that we are still in range area where medium bias remains trendless. I will keep stand aside. Immediate support at 113.44. Another move below that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 113.00 – 112.80.

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY continued its bullish momentum yesterday after break above 132.96, topped at 134.20 and closed at 134.06. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 135.03 especially if price make another strong breakout above 134.20. Immediate support at 133.00. break below that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but as long as price moves inside the bullish channel we are still in major bullish scenario.


AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD continued it bullish correction yesterday, topped and closed at 0.9905. The bias is bullish in nearest term targeting 1.0000 especially if price able to make a clear break above 0.9920. However, note that overall the bearish reversal scenario after the violation to the bullish channel remains valid and the current bullish momentum is still considered as a counter trend move and only a move above 1.0000 could be a threat to the bearish reversal scenario. Immediate support at 0.9810. Break below that area could potentially end the current bullish correction testing 0.9750 even 0.9650 region.

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Thursday, November 18, 2010
Nov-18 Daily Forex Forecast and Trend Analysis

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD was corrected higher yesterday and keep moving higher earlier today in Asian session hit 1.3593. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 1.3650 – 1.3700 resistance area but overall we are still in strong bearish phase. Like I said, any upside pullback is normal and I still prefer a bearish scenario. Immediate support at 1.3500. Clear break below that area could end the current bullish correction testing 1.3333 this week.


GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD bearish pressure was paused yesterday after found support at the lower line of the bullish channel. The bias is neutral in nearest term. The major bullish scenario remains intact especially if price break above 1.5950 targeting 1.6000 – 1.6080 area. On the downside, key support area remains at the lower line of the bullish channel and 1.5880. Clear break below the bullish channel could be a threat to the major bullish outlook at least testing 1.5750 – 1.5650 which could give an early validation to the bearish reversal scenario.


USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY was corrected lower yesterday. I think this is a normal correction and overall we are still in bullish phase. The bias is neutral in nearest term. Immediate support remains at 82.84. Break below that area could trigger further bearish momentum testing 82.40 – 81.95 support area. Initial resistance at 83.70 which is also the nearest bullish target. Break above that area could trigger further bullish continuation testing 84.00 – 84.70.


USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF was corrected lower yesterday. We haven’t seen significant bearish correction since strong bullish run from November 05 so this bearish pullback is normal and we are still in bullish phase. I think I will stand aside for now. Immediate support at the lower line of the minor bullish channel (red) and 0.9900. Consistent move below that area could trigger further bearish pullback testing 0.9800. Initial resistance at 0.9975. We need a clear break above that area to continue the bullish scenario targeting 1.0000 and 1.0182.


EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY didn’t make significant movement yesterday and still trapped in range area of 115.65 – 111.60 in the last 9 weeks. The bias is neutral both in nearest and medium term and I think I will keep stand aside for now. Immediate resistance remains at 113.44 and the minor trend line resistance (red). Break above that area could trigger further bullish pressure testing 114.28 – 114.65. On the downside, key support level remains at 111.60. Break below that area could lead us to a bearish outlook.

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY attempted to push higher yesterday, topped at 132.96 but further upside pressure was limited and closed lower at 132.31. The bias is neutral in nearest term but as long as price moves inside the bullish channel we are still in bullish phase especially if price able to break above 132.96 targeting 133.75 before testing 135.03. On the downside, key support area is seen around 132.00 and the lower line of the bullish channel. Only violation to the bullish channel could be a threat to the bullish outlook.


AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD bearish momentum was paused yesterday after failed to consistently move below 0.9750. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 0.9920 but this fact activates my wait and see mode. The bearish reversal scenario remains valid after the violation of the bullish channel but need a clear break below 0.9750 to continue the bearish pressure testing 0.9650 even lower. On the upside, clear break above 0.9920 could trigger further upside momentum testing 1.0000.

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